Trump and the future of US immigration

Andrea Elliott, CEO of Pro-Link GLOBAL, comments on how the US election result may impact immigration and global mobility worldwide, with a special emphasis on oil and gas.

Donald Trump\'s US immigration policy Pro-Link GLOBAL
Following yesterday’s result that Donald Trump will become the next US president in January 2017, Andrea Elliot, CEO of Pro-Link GLOBAL, commented on the potential future of immigration in the USA.

Corporate immigration

Any comments Trump has made have been highly inconsistent. For example, Trump has advocated both for and against allowing highly skilled workers into the United States, making it difficult to discern his goals.The US has a long road ahead of it if he plans to continue with his stated goals:
  • Build a physical wall between the United States and Mexico
  • End the “catch and release” protocol, so that illegal entrants into the United States would be detained until removed from the country
  • Deport criminal aliens, in joint operation with local, state and federal law enforcement
  • Triple the number of Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents
  • Stop issuing visas in jurisdictions that are considered to have inadequate screening mechanisms
  • End President Obama’s executive actions, DAPA and DACA, and deport beneficiaries of these programs
  • End “sanctuary cities” i.e. cities that avoid prosecuting
  • Trump has called for a temporary ban on issuing visas to enter the United States from “volatile” regions, but has not specified what these regions are  

Global visas

Trump has called for an outright ban on Muslims entering the USA, which Elliott discusses as being the most important and divisive issue. There would be three clear impacts of this ban:
  • Any national of a Muslim country would be subject to additional security clearances if entering on an existing visa
  • It could lead to an outright ban on visas for citizens of Muslim countries
  • The reciprocity rule would be activated
This would then have an immediate impact due to the universal principles of diplomatic reciprocity, essentially beginning a ‘tit for tat’ level of engagement. When the USA announced overnight it would charge a $100 entry fee to Brazilians, US citizens arriving in Rio de Janeiro faced the same fee on arrival to Brazil, plus the requirement of being photographed.
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What does it mean for US travellers?

A ban on Muslims or certain nationalities based on religion would likely lead to US citizens being barred from entering those countries. Overall, this would create a significant problem for global existing contracts, trade agreements and more. Multi-national corporations who trade in oil and petroleum products would be severely affected, as Middle Eastern nations would be likely to return the treatment.The Netherlands have experienced a similar situation after receiving a ban on work permit applications by Dutch passport holders in Saudi Arabia following a perceived slight against the Prophet.Commerce must and will continue for the benefit of the global economy but who represents the needs of global markets and business in Trump’s cabinet? Between now and the inauguration in January, Pro-Link GLOBAL trust that cooler heads will prevail.

For related news and features, visit our Immigration section.

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